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Aeropolitics

This category contains 74 posts

Roscosmos (Russia’s Space Agency) successfully launches its Soyuz rocket this morning with Canadian astronaut on board, David Saint-Jacques for a 6 month mission on the International Space Station (ISS). That is the good news, the bad news is that it looks as if Roscosmos is accused of embezzling (aka stealing) $US 10.4 billion in public funds in 2017 alone! Imagine that happening at NASA? but this is Putin’s Russia, a kleptocracy, a government ruled by corrupt politicians who use their political power to receive kickbacks, bribes, and special favours at the expense of the populace.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/         Tomas’s Comment:     A proud day today for Canada as our 9th astronaut David Saint-Jacques successfully blasted off this morning at 6:31 EST on board a Russian Soyuz rocket for a 6-month mission on board the International Space Station (ISS). Without trying to rain on Roscosmos (Russian Space … Continue reading

Here is a Saudi ‘war game’ scenario that demonstrates the peril of a post-Khashoggi period for the US and the Middle East

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/ Here is a Saudi ‘war game’ scenario that demonstrates the peril of a post-Khashoggi period for the US and the Middle East PUBLISHED SAT, NOV 24 2018 • 7:00 AM EST | UPDATED SAT, NOV 24 2018 • 9:41 AM EST – CNBC https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/23/saudi-war-game-scenario-shows-peril-of-post-khashoggi-peril-for-the-us.html Fred Kempe KEY POINTS A nightmare scenario involving a potential armed showdown … Continue reading

Ethiopian Airlines is and always had been, what the CEO calls a “strategic asset and a policy instrument” for the government. Its key role in logistics is designed to aid the country’s industrialisation. Today, the company is busy exporting its model across Africa, buying stakes in existing airlines in Djibouti, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Eritrea and Equatorial Guinea, as well as setting up new ones in Chad, Ghana, Guinea, Mozambique, Nigeria and Zambia. Not all governments are fully on board with the company’s pan-African vision, a vision which led it to take a key role in pushing for the African Union’s single market for air transport launched earlier this year. “The main challenge is the lack of proper attention given to aviation by African countries,” Tewolde says. “At the policy level, African governments, unintentionally, consider aviation a rich man’s means of transport. They don’t consider it as an essential public service for the average person.”

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/     Posted on Friday, 16 November 2018 Tewolde GebreMariam, Chief Executive Officer, Ethiopian Airlines   By Tom Gardner in Addis Ababa     http://www.theafricareport.com/East-Horn-Africa/itv-tewolde-gebremariam-chief-executive-officer-ethiopian-airlines.html   Tomas’s Comment:   There is no doubt that today Ethiopian Airlines is Africa’s dominant airline, the only African Airline that can compete with the likes of Turkish, … Continue reading

A short history of aviation in Ghana

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/       November 9, 2018   Tomas’s Comment:   The country has a had a rough time with its 2 national airlines, Ghana Airways from 1958 to 2005 and Ghana International Airlines from 2005 to 2010 and have they learned anything? Ghana Airways has had a long successful history with many different … Continue reading

Bombardier’s turnaround has become and asset sale, $300 million for its DHC-8 line (100/Q200/Q300/Q400) to Longview Aviation Capital/Viking Air, $650 million for its Business Aircraft training business to CAE, $561 million for Downsview Airport and factory, so $1.5 billion in asset sales as it lays of another 5,000 employees. I said for years, the CSeries, Q400 and CRJ were heading off the cliff, the realization came this year, as they dumped the CSeries on Airbus, giving away 50.01% for Free, paid $609M so far in costs, kept 33.55% and gave Quebec just 16.44% for its $1.0 billion bailout in 2015. As well, Bombardier will provide a maximum $925M in loss guarantees to CSALP to 2021 and a final assembly line in Alabama? In the end all A220 assembly will go to the US. As for Q400 and the CRJ, they are “walking dead” programs, like the A380 and B747-8i, the Q400 has 66 in backlog, 32 orders this year, I count 21 orders, either way only 9 delivered in 9 months, 1.0 per month seriously? so 66 months to deliver all 66 in backlog? CRJ has 56 in backlog orders, yet only 14 delivered in 9 months, just 1.5 per month? The program lives of US regional airline orders, as the pilot scope clause allows only the CRJ900 and E175, so hate it or not, you order the CRJ900, but E175 has had 80% of US orders the past few years, and when the MRJ and E175-E2 enter the market, its all over for the CRJ program.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/   Bombardier is on its way out of the Commercial Aircraft Business, it has crewed up royally, it went into the CSeries program blinded by marketing myopia and BS about the market, its forecasts were “fantasies” that went against all reality on the ground, it let ATR beat the Q400 and the CRJ was … Continue reading

“We are open to offers for new airline”​? Ghana’s Aviation Minister Joseph Kofi Adda. Is Ghana ready for a third attempt at a national carrier?

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/       Business News of Monday, 15 October 2018 – thebftonline.com   Tomas’s Comment:   The country has a had a rough time with its 2 national airlines, Ghana Airways from 1958 to 2005 and Ghana International Airlines 2005 to 2010 and have they learned anything? Ghana Airways has had a long … Continue reading

The Russians don’t do well with their commercial aircraft, the SSJ100 will never be a commercial success, and neither were the IL-96/86, TU-154, TU-134 or YAK-42. The new MC-21 looks real good, but its sales will like the SSJ100 be limited to basically Russia and the CIS. Now, where the Russians are very good is jet fighters, SU-30/35 and the new SU-57 and helicopters, and this is a segment Russian Helicopters has been doing real well in, with $3.2 billion in revenue in 2016 and a $610 million operating profit. Now, Abu Dhabi based Mubadala is part owner in Russian Helicopters, shows there is value in the company. The new Mi-38 from Russia looks real good and a market exists but not in North America or Europe yet, but maybe in time. One market Russia has not gone after successfully is the amphibious jet from Beriev, the Be-200, that is a “game changer” if there is one today in commercial aviation. The time is right in my opinion to bring back larger commercial amphibious aircraft bigger than the Viking Air DHC-6 Series 400, like a 30 passenger CL-415 and the 72 seat Be-200, but few see the light, but its there, just needs to be promoted, nurtured, marketed and demonstrated, but Russians have done no business development with it, beyond water bomber and SAR, needs new ideas and people to make the Be-200 a commercial success.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/     Thursday October 25, 2018 / Stanislav Golubev/Russian Aviation   Mi-38 belongs to the niche of medium helicopters according to the classification of the Russian market. Today I will tell you about our modern corporate helicopter – the Very-VIP category Mi-38. Why VVIP, and not just VIP? Because there are very few … Continue reading

For decades LIAT has struggled under heavy airport fees, taxes, poor management and politicians with no “balls” to make tough decisions. The airline has a monopoly on most of its network, but still burns cash year after year, and yet politicians just talk and talk about what is bad and what is good but nothing ever changes. The losers are the good people of the Eastern Caribbean, who are “stuck” with high fares and airport fees, unreliable air service and they have chosen NOT to fly, with LIAT passenger count down to around 800,000 yet 10 years ago 2 million were carried when LIAT had competition from Caribbean Star. That shows that the demand is there but supply is too expensive, unreliable and mistrusted, its time for LIAT to Swim of Sink and be ready to open the EC to competition, state aid is not working.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/   PM Gonsalves Says There Are Weaknesses And Limitations With LIAT? Off Course, there are, it is why its burning taxpayers’ money for 2 generations!   October 23, 2018 – Antigua News Room     Tomas’s Comment:   For decades LIAT has struggled under heavy airport fees, taxes, poor management and a poor Board … Continue reading

The world is now seeing the evil that is the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, a nation that got away with knowing about 9-11, support of Taliban and IS and bullying of Qatar to follow the Saudi line. Then in Yemen we see the bombings of school buses, schools, hospitals, wedding, funerals, and the us eof food as a weapon, so now 13 million face starvation. Its time for we in the West to stand up to these spoiled Royals who have used money to get their way for too long. We don’t need their oil, they need food imports, and we can hurt them more than they can hurt us. For too long the murderous medieval Kingdom has bought our politicians, lobbyists and PR firms with petro dollars to hide the evil that lies in Saudi Arabia, Wahhabism and their Jihadists. With Saudi money they bought the West to rescue them in 1991 from Saddam Hussein, our men and women died for those savages? and gain in Aghnsitan putting down the Taliban? then again fighting ISIS? and now they want us to fight Iran for them, may they go to hell and see Allah! Let them fight the Iranians and see what death and destruction war bring, its time they experienced it. Do not let them buy our men and women for another war, let them die alone, they can’t even beat the Houthi tribesmen in 4 years in Yemen with the best equipped military in the world, they are useless cowards beating up a small nation.

      Mohammed bin Salman: The dark side of Saudi Arabia’s crown prince   Touted as Saudi Arabia’s progressive reformer, Mohammed bin Salman has an ominous human rights record.   Mohammed bin Salman, the de facto leader of the kingdom, has been on a quick rise to power [Cliff Owen/AP] The disappearance of Saudi … Continue reading

Scandal filled Korean Air Lines (KAL) Chairman and CEO Cho Yang-ho has been charged with embezzlement, tax evasion and breach of trust, for $17.4 million in “brokered” deals for aircraft (A220-300?) and inflight good and $134 million in medical benefits from National Health Insurance by running a pharmacy without a license. His misbehaved daughters have become infamous for their anger management issues with Korean Air staff, and now Korean Air Lines’s LCC Jin Air (22 x B737-800 and 4 x B777-200ER) may lose its Air Operator’s Certificate (AOC) due to the fallout from an alleged incident involving the daughter of the airlines’ controlling family, who served on the budget carrier’s board of directors for six years despite being ineligible for the post, a government investigation has discovered. Just a bad example of the disgusting behaviour of the rich in Korea, time to put more into jail and clean up the corruption in Korea! it has become a disgrace on the nation.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/     RŪTA BURBAITĖ –  on 15th October 2018 – Aerotime News Hub   Korean Air: from raging heiresses to chief’s embezzlement probe   Another scandal hits the largest airline and flag carrier of South Korea, and this time it involves the man at the top. Korean Air Lines Chairman and CEO, Cho … Continue reading

I called this one when it was first announced. After lots of BS from Air Belgium from the start about flights to China, US and cargo flights from Charleroi Airport (Belgium) it now will just concentrate on ACMI work with its 4 x A340-300, the business model never made sense from the beginning. Anything that involves China flights you need to run, VLM Airlines had some weird plan for such flights from Maribor, Slovenia? feeding it with lots of A320’s from all over Europe? Too many “BS artists” out there selling airline scams that don’t make sense, and sadly “Common Sense” is no longer common in aviation, and ‘suckers’ fall for the false dreams.

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/   Air Belgium will announce the end of its flights between Charleroi and Hong Kong, according to the newspaper, L’Avenir.     The paper noted that an official company announcement will be made today. The route, which had just started on 6 June, was the first long-distance connection from the Charleroi airport. The … Continue reading

St. Lucia enters the 21st century with the airport its visitors need – and deserve. Once again a small nation is using Taiwanese foreign aid to fund some big project. Taiwan has lost diplomatic ties with El Salvador, Dominican Republic and Burkina Faso this year alone, and is now down to 17 small states globally that recognize Taiwan (Republic of China) in the UN over the PRC (People’s Republic of China). Sadly Taiwan is desperate and cannot match the economic might of the PRC so it sticks with mostly small island nations in the Caribbean and the Pacific (plus Paraguay, Swaziland, Holy See-Vatican City) which take advantage of Taiwan’s deteriorating diplomatic isolation by “milking” Taiwan’s foreign aid on big projects in exchange for their UN recognition of the island state, which is considered to be a “renegade” Province by the PRC, that will be reunited with the mainland one day “hell or high water”.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/     St Lucia enters the 21st century with the airport its visitors need – and deserve  Antonia Windsor, destination expert – The Telegraph – 12 SEPTEMBER 2018 • It has been a project 20 years in the planning with a number of false starts, but a redevelopment of St Lucia’s international airport is finally … Continue reading

Opinion: China’s Misguided Grab For Aerospace IP

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/   China’s new 5th generation fighter, J-20   Opinion: China’s Misguided Grab For Aerospace IP May 2, 2018  – Richard Aboulafia| Aviation Week & Space Technology   The U.S.’s biggest aerospace export market is China. It also has an extraordinary and growing aerospace trade surplus with China. According to U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) numbers, … Continue reading

Moldova held liable for 3 air cargo companies (Tiramavia, Valan International Cargo Charter and Grixona) rights violations when it cancelled their AOC’s in 2007, without properly explaining its reasons or giving the companies time to respond, but dodges serious damages and pays just EUR 5,500 each and not the EUR 3 million sought?

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/     Moldova held liable for cargo companies’ rights violations, but dodges serious damages   News – 06 September 2018 by Richard Woolley – Getting The Deal Through   The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) in Strasbourg has found that the government of Moldova infringed the rights of three air freight carriers when it arbitrarily … Continue reading

A rare Caribbean airline success story, Turks and Caicos based inter-Caribbean Airways (8 x EMB-120, 4 x DHC-6, 1 x BN2 and soon 2 x ERJ-145’s) under the leadership of Chairman Mr. Lyndon R. Gardiner and CEO Trevor Sadler is planning to set up an AOC in the Dominican Republic with several used ERJ-145’s, as the 26 year old airline continues its impressive Caribbean expansion from Nassau, Havana, Kingston, Tortola all the way to Dominica. This Dominican Republic move would make it the second foreign airline that plans to do so, as two months back Laser Airlines of Venezuela announced it will fill the void left by the demise of PAWA Dominicana. Dominican ownership would be just 35%, it may be enough locally, but under most bilateral air service agreements (BASA) it requires majority ownership and control, so traffic rights could be an issue. No one has yet used the 50 seat regional jets in the Caribbean, though PAWA Dominicana did plan on operating 6 x CRJ-200’s, while fast they have a high unit cost (CSAK) and need a much higher yield to breakeven than what PAWA Dominicana was getting with its MD-80’s, and this will be interesting in a low yield market like the Caribbean.

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/       https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/InterCaribbean_Airways     Foreign airline manages to become Dominican?     ~ and covers routes within the Caribbean (translated)     Eugenio De Marchena Sunday, 26 August 2018     InterCaribbean Turks and Caicos have initiated the process that demands the Dominican State with the aim of becoming a … Continue reading

Will domestic airlines benefit from Single African market? Well so far only 23 nations out of 55 have signed SAATM, and we have a rush by 10 new state-owned airlines coming to the market in the next 2 to 10 months, and that will hurt a domestic airlines in those countries. We also have non-signing SAATM state airlines abusing the liberalization by competing with 5th freedoms in foreign countries, which is not right. How do you get the other 33 states to sign SAATM when you allow them to compete directly with local private airlines? you don’t! You need to take a tough stand on bilateral air service agreements (BASA) between SAATM signing states and non-signing states, and limit their access to SAATM signing states markets, which do represent 75% of Africa’s air transport market.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/       Will domestic airlines benefit from Single African market?     MUYIWA LUCAS – The Nation – August 27, 2018       Tomas’s Comment:   When we have new state-owned airlines being formed right now in 10 African countries Senegal, Guinea, Ghana, Chad, Eritrea, Djibouti, Zambia, Uganda, Tanzania, Gabon, CAR?   On … Continue reading

Embattled Jet Airways is seeking financial help where it can, and Boeing is ready to help the airline to save its 225 x B737Max and 10 x B787-9 orders. OEM’s do help strategic airline customers every now and then, but it is a gamble and when you support one airline what do the airline competitors think of that? does it not distort competition? in this case say SpiceJet? What happens when some of the big order LCC’s in Asia get into trouble, and some surely will with their highly speculative orders that exceed their current fleets by 100% to +300%? will the OEM’s come to their rescue to? It is a slippery slope that OEM’s need to be careful going down.

  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/     Boeing gives Jet Airways a helping hand   August 21, 2018 Rediff.com     ‘Boeing has returned some cash to the airline which will help it improve the current liquidity crisis.’ Arindam Majumder and Aneesh Phadnis report.       Tomas’s Comment:   When commercial aircraft OEM’s help out a struggling … Continue reading

The “new” Guyana Airways Corporation (GAC) is in trouble, as the Government of Guyana removed the privately-owned Guyana Airways Corporation Inc. (GAC) from the Companies Register two years after the entity was duly registered because the name is identical to two previous companies. Now out of the blue just 2 months away from starting with 2 x B737’s there is a problem with the name? This is a classic political “shakedown” of a new company by someone high up in the Government looking for bribe, nothing else makes sense with this, the nation has waited 15 years to have its own airline, and the now that it almost has one, someone wants to pillage it before it gets off the ground. GAC (aka Guyana Airways II) is already facing challenges, as Guyana is a FAA Category 2 country, so no carrier from Guyana can fly directly to the US, where a large Guyanese diaspora lives, especially in New York. Guyana Airways now plans to just serve Port of Spain, Barbados and Havana, going up against Caribbean Airlines (CAL) will not be easy, but then a JKF service may have to face JetBlue soon and this October American will start Miami to Georgetown, as a start-up you do not want to face the BIG airlines head on right from the start, many that have, died quickly.

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-aviation-doctor-3200a021/   Starbroek – August 25, 2018   Boeing B707 of Guyana Airways after the 2001 bankruptcy, a sad cannibalized aircraft rotting in Georgetown       Start of new local airline delayed over name-company deregistered by commercial registry Millions in losses loom for a new local airline as the start of operations … Continue reading

The European Court of Justice has said that liability for delayed flights under Regulation EC 261/2004 doesn’t extend to airlines that wet lease/ACMI aircraft and crew to other carriers.

Read my regular Articles and Posts on LinkednIN:  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-3200a021/       Lessors don’t count as “operating air carriers” under Reg 261, ECJ rules News – 05 July 2018 by Naomi Smith       The European Court of Justice has said that liability for delayed flights under Regulation EC 261/2004 doesn’t extend to airlines … Continue reading

Jet Airways seeking $400 million from global equity firms to stay alive while Turkish Airlines had a good year, but the collapse of the Turkish Lira versus the $US, will create major problems this year for Turkish, 2 big airlines now in trouble for different reasons, and add to that Air India which has 23% of its 118 aircraft, grounded at any given time due to a lack of spare parts, yes $US 3.6 billion in assets parked waiting!

Read my regular Articles and Posts on LinkednIN:  https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-chlumecky-3200a021/       Airline Economics  August 13, 2018         Jet Airways is reported to have begun a formal stake-sale process to raise $350-400 million from global private equity firms.     Local media sources suggest that Blackstone, TPG, Cerberus Capital Management and Indigo … Continue reading